October 2016 Round

Volume I No. 4 Quezon City, Philippines ... Quarterly Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS) of which there are four survey rounds in a year,...

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Philippine Statistics Authority Volume I

SPECIAL RELEASE Quezon City, Philippines

No. 4

Situation and Outlook Report

October 2016 Round

If you want to know more about these statistics write or call Crops Statistics Division  376-2022 PSA Website: http//www.psa.gov.ph

HIGHLIGHTS Palay and corn outputs for January to June 2016 were lower than their 2015 levels by 8.13 percent and 16.35 percent, respectively. The decline was mainly attributed to the contraction of harvest areas and lower yields due to the El Niño Phenomenon. Probable production of both palay and corn crops for July-December 2016 may incur positive growths of 4.49 percent and 7.20 percent, respectively. Palay and corn outputs for calendar year 2016 may suffer setbacks of 1.30 percent and 3.39 percent, respectively, compared with their levels last year. PALAY Calendar Year 2016 Forecast  Palay production for January to December 2016 is forecast at 17.91 million MT, 1.30 percent below the 2015 output of 18.15 million MT. Harvest area may contract by 1.65 percent, from 4.66 million hectares last year to 4.58 million hectares this year. Yield per hectare may improve by 0.23 percent, from 3.90 MT in 2015 to 3.91 MT in 2016.

July-December 2016 Crop

 The July-December 2016 production may reach 10.27 million MT, 4.49 percent above the 9.83 million MT output in 2015. Harvest area may increase from 2.59 million hectares to 2.65 million hectares, or by 2.19 percent. Yield per hectare may rise from 3.79 MT to 3.87 MT or by 2.25 percent.  Production for July-September 2016 at 2.97 million MT grew by 16.35 percent from the 2.55 million MT output in 2015. Harvest area increased to 745.00 thousand hectares from last year’s level of 653.00 thousand hectares. Yield was higher at 3.98 MT per hectare from 3.91 MT per hectare last year. o

Increments in production were noted in almost all regions except CAR, Central Visayas, Davao Region and NIR.

o

These were attributed to the increase in harvest area due to:

o



early occurrence of rain during planting season;



rehabilitation of irrigation canals particularly in Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon and Zamboanga Peninsula; and



movement of harvest from the previous quarter to this quarter in Mindanao regions as a result late planting due dry spell/drought in the early part of 2016.

Yield per hectare escalated due to government interventions on High Yielding Technology Adoption (HYTA) and distribution of High Quality Seeds (HQS).

 The October-December 2016 forecast based on standing crop indicates production of 7.30 million MT, 0.33 percent higher than the 7.28 million MT output in 2015. On the other hand, harvest area may shrink to 1.91 million hectares or by 1.84 percent from 1.94 million hectares. Yield per hectare may grow by 2.21 percent from 3.75 MT to 3.83 MT. o

Probable increases in production are expected largely in Central Luzon, MIMAROPA and ARMM. 

Movements of harvest were noted in Central Luzon and MIMAROPA due to insufficient water supply experienced in the previous quarters.

2

 o

In ARMM, some areas which were left in-fallow during the recent dry spell were reutilized/planted.

On the other hand, possible decrements in production are perceived in Cagayan Valley and Zamboanga Peninsula due to unrealized plantings and movement of cropping in the Visayas regions and Zamboanga Peninsula as an effect of dry spell/drought in the past quarters.

January-March 2017 Forecast  The January-March 2017 forecasts based on farmers’ planting intentions indicate an increase in production by 12.27 percent, from 3.93 million MT in 2016 to 4.42 million MT in 2017. The increment may come from the expansion in harvest area by 7.35 percent and usage of high yielding varieties of seeds.

CORN Calendar Year 2016 Forecast  Corn production for calendar year 2016 is forecast at 7.26 million MT, 3.39 percent below the 2015 level of 7.52 million MT. Harvest area may contract to 2.49 million hectares, lower by 2.90 percent than last year’s 2.56 million hectares. Yield may decline from 2.93 MT per hectare to 2.92 MT per hectare, or by 0.51 percent.

July-December 2016 Crop  The probable corn production of 4.44 million MT for July-December 2016 may rise by 7.20 percent, from the 4.14 million MT output in 2015. Harvest area may expand from 1.52 million hectares to 1.59 million hectares, or by 4.63 percent. Yield per hectare may improve by 2.45 percent, from 2.73 MT to 2.79 MT.

3

 Corn output in July-September 2016 at 2.66 million MT was 10.61 percent higher than the 2.41 million MT record in 2015. Harvest area expanded from 882 thousand hectares to 967 thousand hectares or by 9.61 percent. Yield per hectare stretched by 0.91 percent, from 2.73 MT to 2.75 MT. o

o

The growth in production was attributed to the increase in harvest area as a result of: 

sufficient water supply during planting season and availability of financial assistance from private financiers in CALABARZON and Northern Mindanao;



movement of cropping SOCCSKSARGEN; and



recovery from the adverse effects of drought in ARMM.

in

Zamboanga

Peninsula

and

Northern

Mindanao,

In SOCCSKSARGEN, the restoration of soil fertility of corn areas left in-fallow during the drought and fewer occurrences of pests and diseases brought about production increase.

o Other factors that contributed to output increment were usage of hybrid seeds and increased fertilizer application across regions. o On the other hand, CAR, Cagayan Valley, Central Luzon, Western Visayas and Central Visayas posted decrements in production and harvest areas due to unrealized plantings and adverse effect of dry spell/drought in the previous quarters.  The October-December 2016 forecasts based on standing crop points to higher production and yield per hectare by 2.44 percent and 4.85 percent from their respective levels in 2015. Meanwhile, harvest area may shrink by 2.30 percent from last year’s level of 634 thousand hectares. Western Visayas, Central Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao and Caraga may post significant increments in production and harvest area during this quarter. o

In Western Visayas, probable increase in production and harvest area can be due to seed distribution by the Department of Agriculture (DA) and private companies and movement of harvest from September to October this year.

o

In Central Visayas, sufficient rainfall during planting time and higher rate of fertilizer application may cause output to go up.

4

o

More plantings due to DA interventions in the distribution of Modern Open Pollinated Variety (OPV) seeds and fertilizers may effect higher outputs in Zamboanga Peninsula, Northern Mindanao and Caraga.

January-March 2017 Forecasts  The January-March 2017 production based on farmers’ planting intentions may increase by 18.23 percent, from 1.92 million MT in 2016 to 2.27 million MT in 2017. o

Except Caraga, the rest of the regions expect growths in production.

o

Probable increase in harvest area may be noted in CAR, Ilocos Region, Northern Mindanao, SOCCSKSARGEN and ARMM due to movement of cropping of some areas from the 4th quarter 2016 caused by dry spell/drought in the past quarters, availability of hybrid seeds, recovery of damaged areas and planting of in-fallow areas.

o

Seed distribution under the Dry Spell Mitigation Program of DA and presence of private financiers may bring improvement in yield in Northern Mindanao.

Technical Notes: Production refers to the quantity produced and actually harvested for a particular crop during the reference period. For palay and corn, harvest area refers to the actual area harvested/to be harvested during the reference quarter. Estimates and forecasts of production and harvest area of palay and corn are generated from the Quarterly Palay and Corn Production Survey (PCPS) of which there are four survey rounds in a year, that is, January, April, July and October. The following are the data taken from these surveys: 1) 2) 3)

Production estimates of the previous quarter for each survey round; Forecast one quarter ahead based on the standing crop; and Forecast two quarters ahead based on planting intentions.

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Table 1. Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by ecosystem, Philippines, January-December, 2015-2016 ITEM (1) PRODUCTION ('000MT) January-March Irrigated Rainfed April-June Irrigated Rainfed January-June Irrigated Rainfed July-September Irrigated Rainfed October December Irrigated Rainfed July-December Irrigated Rainfed January-December Irrigated Rainfed HARVEST AREA ('000Ha) January-March Irrigated Rainfed April-June Irrigated Rainfed January-June Irrigated Rainfed July-September Irrigated Rainfed October December Irrigated Rainfed July-December Irrigated Rainfed January-December Irrigated Rainfed

2015 Estimates

2016 Forecasts

Growth Rate

(2)

(3)

(4)

4,368 3,471 897 3,956 3,451 505 8,324 6,922 1,402 2,552 1,919 632 7,275 5,097 2,178 9,826 7,016 2,810 18,150 13,938 4,212

3,932 3,154 778 3,715 3,326 389 7,647 6,480 1,167 2,969 2,177 792 7,299 a/ 5,109 2,190 10,267 7,286 2,981 17,914 13,766 4,148

-9.97 -9.11 -13.28 -6.10 -3.64 -22.93 -8.13 -6.38 -16.75 16.35 13.44 25.19 0.33 0.24 0.54 4.49 3.85 6.09 -1.30 -1.23 -1.51

1,149 805 345 914 729 185 2,063 1,533 529 653 448 205 1,941 1,252 689 2,594 1,700 894 4,656 3,233 1,423

1,081 763 318 848 708 140 1,929 1,471 458 745 492 253 1,905 a/ 1,237 668 2,650 1,729 921 4,580 3,201 1,379

-5.91 -5.16 -7.66 -7.17 -2.81 -24.37 -6.47 -4.05 -13.49 14.16 9.99 23.25 -1.84 -1.20 -3.00 2.19 1.75 3.03 -1.65 -1.00 -3.12

YIELD/HECTARE (MT) January-March 3.80 3.64 Irrigated 4.31 4.13 Rainfed 2.60 2.45 April-June 4.33 4.38 Irrigated 4.73 4.69 Rainfed 2.73 2.79 January-June 4.04 3.96 Irrigated 4.51 4.40 Rainfed 2.65 2.55 July-September 3.91 3.98 Irrigated 4.29 4.42 Rainfed 3.08 3.13 October December 3.75 3.83 Irrigated 4.07 4.13 Rainfed 3.16 3.28 July-December 3.79 3.87 Irrigated 4.13 4.21 Rainfed 3.14 3.24 January-December 3.90 3.91 Irrigated 4.31 4.30 Rainfed 2.96 3.01 NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures. a/ - Standing crop

-4.31 -4.17 -6.08 1.16 -0.85 1.91 -1.77 -2.44 -3.77 1.92 3.14 1.57 2.21 1.45 3.65 2.25 2.07 2.97 0.35 -0.23 1.66

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Table 1.1 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by ecosystem, Philippines, January-March, 2015-2017 ITEM (1) PRODUCTION (000Mt) January-March Irrigated Rainfed HARVEST AREA (000Ha) January-March Irrigated Rainfed YIELD (Mt/Ha) January-March Irrigated Rainfed

2016 Estimates

2017 Forecasts b/

Growth Rate

(2)

(3)

(4)

3,932 3,154 778

4,415 3,464 951

12.27 9.82 22.20

1,081 763 318

1,161 804 356

7.35 5.44 11.93

3.64 4.13 2.45

3.80 4.31 2.67

4.58 4.16 9.18

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures. b/ - Planting intentions

2:32 PM

15/11/2016

Table 1.2 Palay: Crop estimates by region, Philippines, January-June, 2015-2016 January-June Estimates

Item

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

Change

2015

2016

(2)

(3)

2016 / 2015

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(6)

8,323,552 198,134 468,798 1,386,469 1,879,797 213,535 442,591 627,383 520,270 121,110 528,247 260,363 304,762 215,814 493,581 306,980 214,666 141,052

7,646,882 191,297 457,670 1,373,745 1,803,762 218,205 366,500 641,262 432,732 82,418 545,696 201,940 269,829 185,721 368,954 246,449 158,659 102,042

-676,670 -6,837 -11,128 -12,725 -76,035 4,670 -76,091 13,879 -87,538 -38,692 17,449 -58,423 -34,933 -30,093 -124,627 -60,531 -56,007 -39,010

-8.13 -3.45 -2.37 -0.92 -4.04 2.19 -17.19 2.21 -16.83 -31.95 3.30 -22.44 -11.46 -13.94 -25.25 -19.72 -26.09 -27.66

100.00 2.50 5.99 17.96 23.59 2.85 4.79 8.39 5.66 1.08 7.14 2.64 3.53 2.43 4.82 3.22 2.07 1.33

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

2,062,567 44,605 102,878 313,270 323,405 58,736 117,841 169,592 185,586 41,335 149,867 67,135 72,005 49,339 133,857 96,456 95,920 40,740

1,929,126 44,157 100,562 306,393 319,629 57,850 103,990 173,556 161,344 34,380 154,805 60,243 65,121 47,481 111,863 82,881 73,571 31,300

-133,441 -448 -2,316 -6,877 -3,776 -886 -13,851 3,964 -24,242 -6,955 4,938 -6,892 -6,884 -1,858 -21,994 -13,575 -22,349 -9,440

-6.47 -1.00 -2.25 -2.20 -1.17 -1.51 -11.75 2.34 -13.06 -16.83 3.29 -10.27 -9.56 -3.77 -16.43 -14.07 -23.30 -23.17

100.00 2.29 5.21 15.88 16.57 3.00 5.39 9.00 8.36 1.78 8.02 3.12 3.38 2.46 5.80 4.30 3.81 1.62

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

4.04 4.44 4.56 4.43 5.81 3.64 3.76 3.70 2.80 2.93 3.52 3.88 4.23 4.37 3.69 3.18 2.24 3.46

3.96 4.33 4.55 4.48 5.64 3.77 3.52 3.69 2.68 2.40 3.53 3.35 4.14 3.91 3.30 2.97 2.16 3.26

-0.07 -0.11 -0.01 0.06 -0.17 0.14 -0.23 -0.00 -0.12 -0.53 0.00 -0.53 -0.09 -0.46 -0.39 -0.21 -0.08 -0.20

-1.77 -2.47 -0.13 1.31 -2.91 3.75 -6.16 -0.12 -4.33 -18.18 0.01 -13.57 -2.10 -10.58 -10.55 -6.57 -3.64 -5.84

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

2:32 PM

15/11/2016

Table 1.3 Palay: Crop estimates by region, Philippines, July-September, 2015-2016 July-September Estimates

Item

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

Change

2015

2016

(2)

(3)

2016 / 2015

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(6)

2,551,546 64,111 98,963 204,305 154,514 37,174 83,507 205,232 358,645 7,179 117,726 159,011 186,082 119,030 392,937 23,666 117,698 221,766

2,968,770 59,577 152,133 256,680 206,612 51,787 100,974 210,552 395,551 6,093 120,680 181,232 215,201 117,907 425,089 27,574 219,781 221,347

417,224 -4,534 53,170 52,375 52,098 14,613 17,467 5,320 36,906 -1,086 2,954 22,221 29,119 -1,123 32,152 3,908 102,083 -419

16.35 -7.07 53.73 25.64 33.72 39.31 20.92 2.59 10.29 -15.13 2.51 13.97 15.65 -0.94 8.18 16.51 86.73 -0.19

100.00 2.01 5.12 8.65 6.96 1.74 3.40 7.09 13.32 0.21 4.06 6.10 7.25 3.97 14.32 0.93 7.40 7.46

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

652,718 19,427 22,858 44,268 33,090 10,247 21,900 51,901 104,788 1,969 35,035 38,581 39,904 26,161 100,217 7,319 41,593 53,460

745,136 17,873 33,706 57,110 43,961 14,641 24,959 53,721 115,603 1,762 34,644 41,228 44,318 25,594 97,294 8,381 75,623 54,718

92,417 -1,554 10,848 12,842 10,871 4,394 3,059 1,820 10,815 -207 -391 2,647 4,414 -567 -2,923 1,062 34,030 1,258

14.16 -8.00 47.46 29.01 32.85 42.88 13.97 3.51 10.32 -10.51 -1.12 6.86 11.06 -2.17 -2.92 14.51 81.82 2.35

100.00 2.40 4.52 7.66 5.90 1.96 3.35 7.21 15.51 0.24 4.65 5.53 5.95 3.43 13.06 1.12 10.15 7.34

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

3.91 3.30 4.33 4.62 4.67 3.63 3.81 3.95 3.42 3.65 3.36 4.12 4.66 4.55 3.92 3.23 2.83 4.15

3.98 3.33 4.51 4.49 4.70 3.54 4.05 3.92 3.42 3.46 3.48 4.40 4.86 4.61 4.37 3.29 2.91 4.05

0.08 0.03 0.18 -0.12 0.03 -0.09 0.23 -0.03 -0.00 -0.19 0.12 0.27 0.19 0.06 0.45 0.06 0.08 -0.10

1.92 1.01 4.25 -2.61 0.65 -2.50 6.10 -0.88 -0.03 -5.16 3.67 6.66 4.13 1.25 11.43 1.75 2.70 -2.48

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

2:32 PM

15/11/2016

Table 1.4 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines, October-December, 2015-2016 October-December Item

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

Change 2015 Estimates (2)

2016 / 2015

2016 Forecasts a/ (3)

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(6)

7,274,740 138,666 1,209,360 898,873 1,269,999 142,198 555,735 431,833 686,670 141,512 309,736 242,401 234,276 107,024 405,126 150,666 155,851 194,814

7,298,558 174,773 1,172,326 785,699 1,467,680 151,904 611,126 468,706 598,975 84,208 294,538 200,562 225,831 115,156 409,885 187,002 168,492 181,694

23,818 36,107 -37,034 -113,174 197,681 9,706 55,391 36,873 -87,695 -57,304 -15,198 -41,839 -8,445 8,132 4,759 36,336 12,641 -13,120

0.33 26.04 -3.06 -12.59 15.57 6.83 9.97 8.54 -12.77 -40.49 -4.91 -17.26 -3.60 7.60 1.17 24.12 8.11 -6.73

100.00 2.39 16.06 10.77 20.11 2.08 8.37 6.42 8.21 1.15 4.04 2.75 3.09 1.58 5.62 2.56 2.31 2.49

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

1,940,942 47,450 287,200 226,581 343,151 44,083 143,845 120,814 205,884 37,171 83,413 57,920 51,846 23,720 105,864 51,355 56,836 53,809

1,905,262 51,248 278,367 213,924 340,770 44,277 158,911 126,834 177,712 23,964 78,806 53,866 50,768 24,694 106,349 58,814 63,733 52,225

-35,680 3,798 -8,833 -12,657 -2,381 194 15,066 6,020 -28,172 -13,207 -4,607 -4,054 -1,078 974 485 7,459 6,897 -1,584

-1.84 8.00 -3.08 -5.59 -0.69 0.44 10.47 4.98 -13.68 -35.53 -5.52 -7.00 -2.08 4.11 0.46 14.52 12.13 -2.94

100.00 2.69 14.61 11.23 17.89 2.32 8.34 6.66 9.33 1.26 4.14 2.83 2.66 1.30 5.58 3.09 3.35 2.74

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

3.75 2.92 4.21 3.97 3.70 3.23 3.86 3.57 3.34 3.81 3.71 4.19 4.52 4.51 3.83 2.93 2.74 3.62

3.83 3.41 4.21 3.67 4.31 3.43 3.85 3.70 3.37 3.51 3.74 3.72 4.45 4.66 3.85 3.18 2.64 3.48

0.08 0.49 0.00 -0.29 0.61 0.21 -0.02 0.12 0.04 -0.29 0.02 -0.46 -0.07 0.15 0.03 0.25 -0.10 -0.14

5.36 13.12 2.45 8.56 17.58 7.30 -0.94 4.88 -0.69 -0.19 -0.45 -1.72 -1.01 1.13 3.90 6.72 -2.55 -0.48

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures. a/ - Standing crop

2:32 PM

15/11/2016

Table 1.5 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines, July-December, 2015-2016 July-December Item

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

Change 2015 Estimates (2)

2016 / 2015

2016 Forecasts (3)

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(6)

9,826,286 202,777 1,308,323 1,103,178 1,424,513 179,372 639,242 637,065 1,045,315 148,691 427,462 401,412 420,358 226,054 798,063 174,332 273,549 416,580

10,267,328 234,350 1,324,459 1,042,379 1,674,292 203,691 712,100 679,258 994,526 90,301 415,218 381,794 441,032 233,063 834,974 214,576 388,273 403,041

441,042 31,573 16,136 -60,798 249,779 24,319 72,858 42,193 -50,789 -58,390 -12,244 -19,618 20,674 7,009 36,911 40,244 114,724 -13,539

4.49 15.57 1.23 -5.51 17.53 13.56 11.40 6.62 -4.86 -39.27 -2.86 -4.89 4.92 3.10 4.63 23.08 41.94 -3.25

100.00 2.28 12.90 10.15 16.31 1.98 6.94 6.62 9.69 0.88 4.04 3.72 4.30 2.27 8.13 2.09 3.78 3.93

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

2,593,660 66,877 310,058 270,849 376,241 54,330 165,745 172,715 310,672 39,140 118,448 96,501 91,750 49,881 206,081 58,674 98,429 107,269

2,650,397 69,121 312,073 271,034 384,731 58,918 183,870 180,555 293,315 25,726 113,450 95,094 95,086 50,288 203,643 67,195 139,356 106,943

56,737 2,244 2,015 184 8,490 4,588 18,125 7,840 -17,357 -13,414 -4,998 -1,407 3,336 407 -2,438 8,521 40,927 -326

2.19 3.36 0.65 0.07 2.26 8.44 10.94 4.54 -5.59 -34.27 -4.22 -1.46 3.64 0.82 -1.18 14.52 41.58 -0.30

100.00 2.61 11.77 10.23 14.52 2.22 6.94 6.81 11.07 0.97 4.28 3.59 3.59 1.90 7.68 2.54 5.26 4.03

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

3.79 3.03 4.22 4.07 3.79 3.30 3.86 3.69 3.36 3.80 3.61 4.16 4.58 4.53 3.87 2.97 2.78 3.88

3.87 3.39 4.24 3.85 4.35 3.46 3.87 3.76 3.39 3.51 3.66 4.01 4.64 4.63 4.10 3.19 2.79 3.77

0.09 0.36 0.02 -0.23 0.57 0.16 0.02 0.07 0.03 -0.29 0.05 -0.14 0.06 0.10 0.23 0.22 0.01 -0.11

2.25 11.82 0.58 -5.58 14.94 4.72 0.42 1.99 0.77 -7.60 1.42 -3.48 1.24 2.27 5.88 7.48 0.25 -2.96

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

2:32 PM

15/11/2016

Table 1.6 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines, January-December, 2015-2016

Item

January-December Change 2015 Estimates

2016 / 2015

2016 Forecasts

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

(2)

(3)

18,149,838 400,911 1,777,121 2,489,647 3,304,310 392,907 1,081,833 1,264,448 1,565,585 269,801 955,709 661,775 725,120 441,868 1,291,644 481,312 488,215 557,632

17,914,209 425,647 1,782,129 2,416,124 3,478,054 421,896 1,078,600 1,320,520 1,427,258 172,719 960,914 583,734 710,861 418,784 1,203,928 461,025 546,932 505,083

-235,629 24,736 5,008 -73,523 173,744 28,989 -3,233 56,072 -138,327 -97,082 5,205 -78,041 -14,259 -23,084 -87,716 -20,286 58,717 -52,549

-1.30 6.17 0.28 -2.95 5.26 7.38 -0.30 4.43 -8.84 -35.98 0.54 -11.79 -1.97 -5.22 -6.79 -4.21 12.03 -9.42

100.00 2.38 9.95 13.49 19.42 2.36 6.02 7.37 7.97 0.96 5.36 3.26 3.97 2.34 6.72 2.57 3.05 2.82

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

4,656,227 111,482 412,936 584,119 699,646 113,066 283,586 342,307 496,258 80,475 268,315 163,636 163,755 99,220 339,938 155,130 194,349 148,009

4,579,524 113,278 412,635 577,427 704,360 116,768 287,860 354,111 454,659 60,106 268,255 155,337 160,207 97,769 315,506 150,076 212,927 138,243

-76,703 1,796 -301 -6,692 4,714 3,702 4,274 11,804 -41,599 -20,369 -60 -8,299 -3,548 -1,451 -24,432 -5,054 18,578 -9,766

-1.65 1.61 -0.07 -1.15 0.67 3.27 1.51 3.45 -8.38 -25.31 -0.02 -5.07 -2.17 -1.46 -7.19 -3.26 9.56 -6.60

100.00 2.47 9.01 12.61 15.38 2.55 6.29 7.73 9.93 1.31 5.86 3.39 3.50 2.13 6.89 3.28 4.65 3.02

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

3.90 3.60 4.30 4.26 4.72 3.48 3.81 3.69 3.15 3.35 3.56 4.04 4.43 4.45 3.80 3.10 2.51 3.77

3.91 3.76 4.32 4.18 4.94 3.61 3.75 3.73 3.14 2.87 3.58 3.76 4.44 4.28 3.82 3.07 2.57 3.65

0.01 0.16 0.02 -0.08 0.22 0.14 -0.07 0.04 -0.02 -0.48 0.02 -0.29 0.01 -0.17 0.02 -0.03 0.06 -0.11

0.35 4.49 0.35 -1.83 4.55 3.97 -1.78 0.95 -0.49 -14.29 0.57 -7.08 0.20 -3.82 0.43 -0.99 2.25 -3.02

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

(6)

2:32 PM

15/11/2016

Table 1.7 Palay: Crop estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines, January-March, 2016-2017 January-March Item

Change 2016 Estimates

2016 / 2016

2017 Forecasts b/

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

3,932,292 54,002 317,496 580,077 641,215 89,973 229,685 289,543 387,519 64,096 285,519 145,887 170,185 121,375 345,452 17,937 121,945 70,386

4,414,769 58,960 333,504 622,629 694,691 92,848 279,735 300,893 466,503 77,168 281,920 223,713 179,653 144,087 408,238 32,689 124,217 93,321

482,477 4,958 16,008 42,552 53,476 2,875 50,050 11,350 78,984 13,072 -3,599 77,826 9,468 22,712 62,786 14,752 2,272 22,935

12.27 9.18 5.04 7.34 8.34 3.20 21.79 3.92 20.38 20.39 -1.26 53.35 5.56 18.71 18.18 82.24 1.86 32.58

100.00 1.34 7.55 14.10 15.74 2.10 6.34 6.82 10.57 1.75 6.39 5.07 4.07 3.26 9.25 0.74 2.81 2.11

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

1,081,096 13,455 68,672 133,114 137,099 24,539 65,578 78,754 142,660 25,588 87,168 43,945 39,771 30,328 102,857 5,682 60,977 20,909

1,160,532 13,961 70,633 144,642 142,157 24,361 75,068 80,759 159,372 27,290 88,707 56,638 41,952 30,844 108,225 10,794 58,413 26,716

79,436 506 1,961 11,528 5,058 -178 9,490 2,005 16,712 1,702 1,539 12,693 2,181 516 5,368 5,112 -2,564 5,807

7.35 3.76 2.86 8.66 3.69 -0.73 14.47 2.55 11.71 6.65 1.77 28.88 5.48 1.70 5.22 89.97 -4.20 27.77

100.00 1.20 6.09 12.46 12.25 2.10 6.47 6.96 13.73 2.35 7.64 4.88 3.61 2.66 9.33 0.93 5.03 2.30

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

3.64 4.01 4.62 4.36 4.68 3.67 3.50 3.68 2.72 2.50 3.28 3.32 4.28 4.00 3.36 3.16 2.00 3.37

3.80 4.22 4.72 4.30 4.89 3.81 3.73 3.73 2.93 2.83 3.18 3.95 4.28 4.67 3.77 3.03 2.13 3.49

0.17 0.21 0.10 -0.05 0.21 0.14 0.22 0.05 0.21 0.32 -0.10 0.63 0.00 0.67 0.41 -0.13 0.13 0.13

4.58 5.22 2.13 -1.22 4.49 3.95 6.39 1.34 7.76 12.89 -2.97 18.98 0.08 16.73 12.31 -4.07 6.33 3.77

(2)

(3)

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures. b/ - Planting intentions

(6)

2:32 PM

15/11/2016

Table 2. Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by quarter, by croptype, Philippines, January-December, 2015-2016 ITEM (1) PRODUCTION ('000MT) January-March White Yellow April-June White Yellow January-June White Yellow July-September White Yellow October December White Yellow July-December White Yellow January-December White Yellow HARVEST AREA ('000Ha) January-March White Yellow April-June White Yellow January-June White Yellow July-September White Yellow October December White Yellow July-December White Yellow January-December White Yellow

2014 Estimates

2015 Estimates

2016 Forecasts

Growth Rate

(2)

(2)

(3)

(4)

2,278 521 1,758 1,202 286 916 3,480 806 2,674 2,449 803 1,646 1,842 653 1,189 4,291 1,456 2,835 7,771 2,262 5,508

2,369 511 1,858 1,012 250 763 3,381 761 2,620 2,407 756 1,651 1,731 618 1,113 4,138 1,374 2,764 7,519 2,135 5,384

1,917 356 1,561 911 159 752 2,828 515 2,313 2,662 890 1,772 1,773 a/ 624 1,149 4,436 1,515 2,921 7,264 2,030 5,234

-19.07 -30.31 -15.97 -10.00 -36.20 -1.42 -16.35 -32.24 -11.74 10.61 17.79 7.33 2.44 0.98 3.26 7.20 10.23 5.69 -3.39 -4.90 -2.79

705 293 413 390 170 219 1,095 463 632 874 475 398 643 352 291 1,516 827 689 2,611 1,290 1,321

715 291 424 330 152 178 1,045 443 602 882 468 415 634 355 280 1,517 822 695 2,562 1,265 1,296

629 247 383 271 100 171 901 347 554 967 489 478 620 a/ 338 282 1,587 827 760 2,488 1,174 1,314

-12.02 -15.29 -9.78 -17.72 -34.04 -3.73 -13.82 -21.73 -7.99 9.61 4.57 15.29 -2.30 -4.69 0.73 4.63 0.58 9.42 -2.90 -7.24 1.34

YIELD/HECTARE (MT) January-March 3.23 3.31 White 1.78 1.75 Yellow 4.26 4.38 April-June 3.08 3.07 White 1.68 1.64 Yellow 4.17 4.29 January-June 3.18 3.24 White 1.74 1.72 Yellow 4.23 4.36 July-September 2.80 2.73 White 1.69 1.62 Yellow 4.13 3.98 October December 2.87 2.73 White 1.86 1.74 Yellow 4.09 3.97 July-December 2.83 2.73 White 1.76 1.67 Yellow 4.11 3.98 January-December 2.98 2.93 White 1.75 1.69 Yellow 4.17 4.15 NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures. a/ - Standing crop

3.05 1.44 4.08 3.36 1.59 4.40 3.14 1.48 4.18 2.75 1.82 3.71 2.86 1.85 4.07 2.79 1.83 3.84 2.92 1.73 3.98

-8.00 -17.72 -6.87 9.38 -3.28 2.40 -2.94 -13.43 -4.07 0.91 12.64 -6.91 4.85 5.95 2.50 2.45 9.59 -3.41 -0.51 2.52 -4.08

2:29 PM

15/11/2016

Table 2.1 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by croptype, Philippines, January-March, 2016-2017 ITEM (1) January-March White Yellow

HARVEST AREA (000Ha) January-March White Yellow

YIELD (Mt/Ha) January-March White Yellow

2015

2016 Estimates

(2) 2,369 511 1,858

(2) 1,917 356 1,561

715 291 424

3.31 1.75 4.38

2017 Forecasts b/

2,266 432 1,834

(4) 18.23 21.34 17.52

629 247 383

685 260 425

8.92 5.54 11.10

3.05 1.44 4.08

3.31 1.66 4.32

8.55 14.97 5.78

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures. b/ - Planting intentions

(3)

Growth Rate

2:29 PM

15/11/2016

Table 2.2 Corn: Crop estimates by region, Philippines, January-June, 2015-2016 January-June Estimates

Item

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

Change

2015

2016

(2)

(3)

2016 / 2015

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(6)

3,380,773 125,308 473,971 966,495 243,985 25,787 91,155 128,644 96,478 17,929 44,486 48,000 350,594 72,563 331,019 26,370 287,553 50,437

2,827,943 91,330 489,485 895,207 232,413 29,175 75,022 132,983 53,215 12,118 36,569 52,833 270,341 66,032 220,516 39,786 87,508 43,410

-552,830 -33,978 15,514 -71,288 -11,572 3,388 -16,133 4,339 -43,263 -5,811 -7,917 4,833 -80,253 -6,531 -110,503 13,416 -200,045 -7,027

-16.35 -27.12 3.27 -7.38 -4.74 13.14 -17.70 3.37 -44.84 -32.41 -17.80 10.07 -22.89 -9.00 -33.38 50.88 -69.57 -13.93

100.00 3.23 17.31 31.66 8.22 1.03 2.65 4.70 1.88 0.43 1.29 1.87 9.56 2.33 7.80 1.41 3.09 1.54

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

1,045,037 30,722 83,202 214,910 40,574 11,664 20,134 54,270 27,380 25,517 28,341 26,934 128,333 52,739 127,272 9,204 129,037 34,804

900,602 27,702 85,192 211,327 40,760 11,099 17,913 55,957 17,578 18,743 24,973 29,844 113,349 53,564 93,108 12,380 53,999 33,114

-144,435 -3,020 1,990 -3,583 186 -565 -2,221 1,687 -9,802 -6,774 -3,368 2,910 -14,984 825 -34,164 3,176 -75,038 -1,690

-13.82 -9.83 2.39 -1.67 0.46 -4.84 -11.03 3.11 -35.80 -26.55 -11.88 10.80 -11.68 1.56 -26.84 34.51 -58.15 -4.86

100.00 3.08 9.46 23.47 4.53 1.23 1.99 6.21 1.95 2.08 2.77 3.31 12.59 5.95 10.34 1.37 6.00 3.68

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

3.24 4.08 5.70 4.50 6.01 2.21 4.53 2.37 3.52 0.70 1.57 1.78 2.73 1.38 2.60 2.87 2.23 1.45

3.14 3.30 5.75 4.24 5.70 2.63 4.19 2.38 3.03 0.65 1.46 1.77 2.39 1.23 2.37 3.21 1.62 1.31

-0.10 -0.78 0.05 -0.26 -0.31 0.42 -0.34 0.01 -0.50 -0.06 -0.11 -0.01 -0.35 -0.14 -0.23 0.35 -0.61 -0.14

-2.94 -19.17 0.86 -5.81 -5.18 18.90 -7.49 0.26 -14.08 -7.98 -6.71 -0.66 -12.70 -10.40 -8.94 12.17 -27.28 -9.54

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

2:29 PM

15/11/2016

Table 2.3 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines, July-September, 2015-2016 July-September Estimates

Item

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

Change

2015

2016

(2)

(3)

2016 / 2015

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(6)

2,406,989 86,918 9,432 604,103 23,716 12,436 24,276 65,966 84,627 63,267 20,108 96,269 464,138 73,427 483,623 34,288 182,766 77,629

2,662,444 86,486 11,003 582,617 21,470 35,452 25,101 79,255 56,556 61,164 20,150 124,675 498,991 80,018 521,787 35,803 327,730 94,186

255,455 -432 1,571 -21,486 -2,246 23,016 825 13,289 -28,071 -2,103 42 28,406 34,853 6,591 38,164 1,515 144,964 16,557

10.61 -0.50 16.66 -3.56 -9.47 185.08 3.40 20.15 -33.17 -3.32 0.21 29.51 7.51 8.98 7.89 4.42 79.32 21.33

100.00 3.25 0.41 21.88 0.81 1.33 0.94 2.98 2.12 2.30 0.76 4.68 18.74 3.01 19.60 1.34 12.31 3.54

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

882,402 26,601 2,477 151,978 5,640 6,135 7,394 31,156 21,392 71,772 14,270 59,153 136,385 52,795 154,860 12,645 76,645 51,104

967,217 26,052 2,697 150,612 5,161 12,426 7,350 34,092 14,959 64,021 14,253 67,804 140,689 52,757 159,228 11,283 145,969 57,864

84,815 -549 220 -1,366 -479 6,291 -44 2,936 -6,433 -7,751 -17 8,651 4,304 -38 4,368 -1,362 69,324 6,760

9.61 -2.06 8.88 -0.90 -8.49 102.54 -0.60 9.42 -30.07 -10.80 -0.12 14.62 3.16 -0.07 2.82 -10.77 90.45 13.23

100.00 2.69 0.28 15.57 0.53 1.28 0.76 3.52 1.55 6.62 1.47 7.01 14.55 5.45 16.46 1.17 15.09 5.98

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

2.73 3.27 3.81 3.97 4.20 2.03 3.28 2.12 3.96 0.88 1.41 1.63 3.40 1.39 3.12 2.71 2.38 1.52

2.75 3.32 4.08 3.87 4.16 2.85 3.42 2.32 3.78 0.96 1.41 1.84 3.55 1.52 3.28 3.17 2.25 1.63

0.02 0.05 0.27 -0.11 -0.04 0.83 0.13 0.21 -0.18 0.07 0.00 0.21 0.14 0.13 0.15 0.46 -0.14 0.11

0.91 1.60 7.14 -2.68 -1.07 40.75 4.02 9.80 -4.43 8.38 0.33 12.98 4.22 9.05 4.93 17.02 -5.84 7.15

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures. a/ - Standing crop

2:29 PM

15/11/2016

Table 2.4 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines, October-December, 2015-2016 October-December Item

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

Change 2015 Estimates (2)

2016 / 2015

2016 Forecasts a/

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(3)

(6)

1,730,993 25,597 7,540 230,596 3,618 26,600 10,061 49,298 32,257 20,137 26,551 75,911 401,570 78,110 424,633 58,116 202,717 57,681

1,773,297 27,544 7,536 219,942 6,672 30,578 14,030 50,440 43,513 26,741 25,400 87,561 450,572 77,474 416,321 69,283 165,587 54,103

42,303 1,947 -4 -10,655 3,054 3,978 3,969 1,142 11,256 6,604 -1,151 11,650 49,002 -636 -8,312 11,167 -37,130 -3,578

2.44 7.61 -0.05 -4.62 84.41 14.95 39.45 2.32 34.89 32.80 -4.34 15.35 12.20 -0.81 -1.96 19.22 -18.32 -6.20

100.00 1.55 0.42 12.40 0.38 1.72 0.79 2.84 2.45 1.51 1.43 4.94 25.41 4.37 23.48 3.91 9.34 3.05

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

634,496 7,088 1,929 59,078 1,154 11,386 3,863 17,599 8,285 25,550 18,798 45,503 112,322 48,864 134,268 20,547 76,613 41,649

619,932 7,624 1,880 55,547 1,508 11,559 5,247 17,505 9,784 28,334 17,861 47,907 116,765 48,613 131,049 21,042 61,167 36,540

-14,564 536 -49 -3,531 354 173 1,384 -94 1,499 2,784 -937 2,404 4,443 -251 -3,219 495 -15,446 -5,109

-2.30 7.56 -2.54 -5.98 30.68 1.52 35.83 -0.53 18.09 10.90 -4.98 5.28 3.96 -0.51 -2.40 2.41 -20.16 -12.27

100.00 1.23 0.30 8.96 0.24 1.86 0.85 2.82 1.58 4.57 2.88 7.73 18.84 7.84 21.14 3.39 9.87 5.89

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

2.73 3.61 3.91 3.90 3.14 2.34 2.60 2.80 3.89 0.79 1.41 1.67 3.58 1.60 3.16 2.83 2.65 1.38

2.86 3.61 4.01 3.96 4.42 2.65 2.67 2.88 4.45 0.94 1.42 1.83 3.86 1.59 3.18 3.29 2.71 1.48

0.13 0.00 0.10 0.06 1.29 0.31 0.07 0.08 0.55 0.16 0.01 0.16 0.28 -0.00 0.01 0.46 0.06 0.10

2.57 8.46 3.71 8.35 30.05 3.37 -5.71 9.04 -4.71 -0.16 -2.49 -1.67 -0.81 0.72 1.90 2.76 6.21 2.62

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures. a/ - Standing crop

2:29 PM

15/11/2016

Table 2.5 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines, July-December, 2015-2016 July-December Item

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

Change 2015 Estimates (2)

2016 / 2015

2016 Forecasts (3)

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(6)

4,137,983 112,515 16,972 834,700 27,334 39,036 34,337 115,264 116,884 83,404 46,659 172,180 865,708 151,537 908,256 92,404 385,483 135,310

4,435,741 114,030 18,539 802,559 28,142 66,030 39,131 129,695 100,069 87,905 45,550 212,236 949,563 157,492 938,108 105,086 493,317 148,289

297,758 1,515 1,567 -32,140 808 26,994 4,794 14,431 -16,815 4,501 -1,109 40,056 83,855 5,955 29,852 12,682 107,834 12,979

7.20 1.35 9.23 -3.85 2.96 69.15 13.96 12.52 -14.39 5.40 -2.38 23.26 9.69 3.93 3.29 13.72 27.97 9.59

100.00 2.57 0.42 18.09 0.63 1.49 0.88 2.92 2.26 1.98 1.03 4.78 21.41 3.55 21.15 2.37 11.12 3.34

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

1,516,897 33,689 4,406 211,055 6,794 17,521 11,257 48,755 29,677 97,322 33,068 104,656 248,707 101,659 289,128 33,192 153,258 92,753

1,587,149 33,676 4,577 206,159 6,669 23,985 12,597 51,597 24,743 92,355 32,114 115,711 257,454 101,370 290,277 32,325 207,136 94,404

70,251 -13 171 -4,897 -125 6,464 1,340 2,842 -4,934 -4,967 -954 11,055 8,747 -289 1,149 -867 53,878 1,651

4.63 -0.04 3.88 -2.32 -1.84 36.89 11.90 5.83 -16.63 -5.10 -2.88 10.56 3.52 -0.28 0.40 -2.61 35.16 1.78

100.00 2.12 0.29 12.99 0.42 1.51 0.79 3.25 1.56 5.82 2.02 7.29 16.22 6.39 18.29 2.04 13.05 5.95

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

2.73 3.34 3.85 3.95 4.02 2.23 3.05 2.36 3.94 0.86 1.41 1.65 3.48 1.49 3.14 2.78 2.52 1.46

2.79 3.39 4.05 3.89 4.22 2.75 3.11 2.51 4.04 0.95 1.42 1.83 3.69 1.55 3.23 3.25 2.38 1.57

0.07 0.05 0.20 -0.06 0.20 0.53 0.06 0.15 0.11 0.09 0.01 0.19 0.21 0.06 0.09 0.47 -0.13 0.11

2.45 1.39 5.15 -1.57 4.89 23.56 1.84 6.32 2.69 11.07 0.52 11.49 5.96 4.23 2.88 16.77 -5.31 7.68

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

2:29 PM

15/11/2016

Table 2.6 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines, January-December, 2015-2016

Item

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

January-December Change 2015 Estimates (2)

2016 / 2015

2016 Forecasts (3)

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(6)

7,518,756 237,823 490,943 1,801,194 271,319 64,823 125,492 243,908 213,362 101,333 91,145 220,180 1,216,302 224,100 1,239,275 118,774 673,036 185,747

7,263,684 205,360 508,024 1,697,766 260,555 95,205 114,153 262,678 153,284 100,023 82,119 265,069 1,219,904 223,524 1,158,624 144,872 580,825 191,699

-255,071 -32,463 17,081 -103,428 -10,764 30,382 -11,339 18,770 -60,078 -1,310 -9,026 44,889 3,602 -576 -80,651 26,098 -92,211 5,952

-3.39 -13.65 3.48 -5.74 -3.97 46.87 -9.04 7.70 -28.16 -1.29 -9.90 20.39 0.30 -0.26 -6.51 21.97 -13.70 3.20

100.00 2.83 6.99 23.37 3.59 1.31 1.57 3.62 2.11 1.38 1.13 3.65 16.79 3.08 15.95 1.99 8.00 2.64

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

2,561,934 64,411 87,608 425,965 47,368 29,185 31,391 103,025 57,057 122,839 61,409 131,590 377,040 154,398 416,400 42,396 282,295 127,557

2,487,750 61,378 89,769 417,485 47,429 35,084 30,510 107,554 42,321 111,098 57,087 145,555 370,803 154,934 383,385 44,705 261,135 127,518

-74,184 -3,033 2,161 -8,480 61 5,899 -881 4,529 -14,736 -11,741 -4,322 13,965 -6,237 536 -33,015 2,309 -21,160 -39

-2.90 -4.71 2.47 -1.99 0.13 20.21 -2.81 4.40 -25.83 -9.56 -7.04 10.61 -1.65 0.35 -7.93 5.45 -7.50 -0.03

100.00 2.47 3.61 16.78 1.91 1.41 1.23 4.32 1.70 4.47 2.29 5.85 14.91 6.23 15.41 1.80 10.50 5.13

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

2.93 3.69 5.60 4.23 5.73 2.22 4.00 2.37 3.74 0.82 1.48 1.67 3.23 1.45 2.98 2.80 2.38 1.46

2.92 3.35 5.66 4.07 5.49 2.71 3.74 2.44 3.62 0.90 1.44 1.82 3.29 1.44 3.02 3.24 2.22 1.50

-0.02 -0.35 0.06 -0.16 -0.23 0.49 -0.26 0.07 -0.12 0.08 -0.05 0.15 0.06 -0.01 0.05 0.44 -0.16 0.05

-0.51 -9.38 0.99 -3.83 -4.09 22.17 -6.41 3.16 -3.14 9.14 -3.08 8.84 1.98 -0.60 1.54 15.67 -6.71 3.24

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures.

2:29 PM

15/11/2016

Table 2.7 Corn: Crop estimates and forecasts by region, Philippines, January-March, 2016-2017 January-March Item

(1) PRODUCTION (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

Change 2016 Estimates (2)

2016 / 2016

2017 Forecasts b/ (3)

Percent share

Level

%

(4)

(5)

(6)

1,916,945 68,719 315,992 579,901 111,607 20,987 52,216 55,225 45,742 10,736 12,503 42,114 249,121 42,125 204,637 1,518 72,591 31,211

2,266,358 83,719 350,408 654,577 117,171 24,261 56,828 62,655 47,294 12,852 12,797 43,809 299,991 53,696 271,510 1,276 137,881 35,633

349,413 15,000 34,416 74,676 5,564 3,274 4,612 7,430 1,552 2,116 294 1,695 50,870 11,571 66,873 -242 65,290 4,422

18.23 21.83 10.89 12.88 4.99 15.60 8.83 13.45 3.39 19.71 2.35 4.02 20.42 27.47 32.68 -15.93 89.94 14.17

100.00 3.69 15.46 28.88 5.17 1.07 2.51 2.76 2.09 0.57 0.56 1.93 13.24 2.37 11.98 0.06 6.08 1.57

HARVEST AREA (Ha) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

629,249 22,287 53,896 134,342 21,226 7,713 12,192 28,349 14,601 16,052 8,133 24,295 100,405 32,080 82,932 737 45,471 24,538

685,378 22,392 59,473 144,362 20,251 8,488 12,573 32,529 14,005 18,515 8,327 22,524 107,379 30,545 93,943 732 62,613 26,727

56,129 105 5,577 10,020 -975 775 381 4,180 -596 2,463 194 -1,771 6,974 -1,535 11,011 -5 17,142 2,189

8.92 0.47 10.35 7.46 -4.59 10.05 3.13 14.74 -4.08 15.34 2.39 -7.29 6.95 -4.78 13.28 -0.68 37.70 8.92

100.00 3.27 8.68 21.06 2.95 1.24 1.83 4.75 2.04 2.70 1.21 3.29 15.67 4.46 13.71 0.11 9.14 3.90

YIELD/ HA (MT) PHILIPPINES CAR Ilocos Cagayan Valley Central Luzon CALABARZON MIMAROPA Bicol Western Visayas Central Visayas Eastern Visayas Zamboanga Peninsula Northern Mindanao Davao Region SOCCSKSARGEN Caraga ARMM NIR

3.05 3.08 5.86 4.32 5.26 2.72 4.28 1.95 3.13 0.67 1.54 1.73 2.48 1.31 2.47 2.06 1.60 1.27

3.31 3.74 5.89 4.53 5.79 2.86 4.52 1.93 3.38 0.69 1.54 1.94 2.79 1.76 2.89 1.74 2.20 1.33

0.26 0.66 0.03 0.22 0.53 0.14 0.24 -0.02 0.24 0.03 -0.00 0.21 0.31 0.44 0.42 -0.32 0.61 0.06

8.55 21.26 0.49 5.04 10.04 5.05 5.53 -1.12 7.79 3.78 -0.03 12.20 12.60 33.87 17.13 -15.36 37.94 4.82

NOTE: Totals, yields and percentage changes were derived from unrounded figures. b/ - Planting intentions

2:29 PM